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Author Topic: Trends, splits, and goals - keep a firm grip  (Read 7759 times)

Solitar

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Re:Trends, splits, and goals - keep a firm grip
« Reply #15 on: January 24, 2003, 10:11:42 pm »

Zxcv,

Go to this web page for the details in NH.
http://webster.state.nh.us/sos/general2002/

OR

See my response over at the Analysis of State Legislatures thread.
http://forum.freestateproject.org/index.php?board=5;action=display;threadid=1002&start=15
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Robert H.

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Re:Trends, splits, and goals - keep a firm grip
« Reply #16 on: January 25, 2003, 01:44:57 am »

Besides, WY, SD, MT and ME are the only states with term limits. It's an awful lot easier to run for an open seat, than one with an entrenched opponent, no matter whether you are talking primary or general. So this feature alone puts these 4 states on the top in terms of electability of FSP candidates.

Term limits are a significant advantage for these states due to their ability to open up the process to those who could otherwise be locked out, as you indicate.  Wyoming and Montana also have the advantage of rising third parties: Greens in Montana, Libertarians in Wyoming.  These rising challengers, combined with term limitations, could easily shake up the political scene in both states over the next few years and make it more accessible for our purposes.

Organizing a political think-tank, as Jason has suggested, in order to coordinate the efforts and, if possible, votes of liberty-oriented persons across party lines could have an enormous impact.  Wyoming seems especially significant here due to the GOP's recent loss in the mid-term elections at the hands of Libertarian and Constitution Party voters.  Both the GOP and the LP in Wyoming should be very interested in the possibility of preventing a statist candidate from benefiting from their division in the future, I would imagine, and a free state think-tank could assist ably with that.

It's also interesting that, of the rising third parties in these states, the one in Montana is a more statist-oriented party, while the one in Wyoming is liberty-oriented.  A rising liberty-oriented party in a state already as free as Wyoming is quite an indicator, in my opinion.

If you haven't seen it already, check out Tennyson's analysis of voter leanings in the candidate states.  From his research based on the 2000 election, the four term limits states showed the following voter predispositions:

Maine: 21% diposed toward statist candidates
Montana:  53% disposed toward liberty-oriented candidates
South Dakota:  66% disposed toward liberty-oriented candidates
Wyoming:  151% disposed toward liberty-oriented candidates

The only state that even came close to Wyoming was Idaho (where there are no term limits, of course), at 141% predisposition toward liberty-oriented candidates.

Hank

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Re:Trends, splits, and goals - keep a firm grip
« Reply #17 on: August 13, 2003, 10:58:25 am »

Zxcv asked:
Quote
Which state could you have more long-range rifle competitions in? There's probably not a 1000-yard range east of the Mississippi! Where can you have machine-gun shoots?
Rifle ranges and especally such long rifle ranges are being "run out of town" between Massachusetts and eastern Virginia.

There would be a flood of liberty-starved refugees fleeing to Delaware if it had long rifle ranges, open carry, Vermont carry, and permitted Class III NFA sales and possession.

Gun tourism could be bigger than gambling! ;D
Want to shoot a machine gun or a 20mm like in UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES?  Can't do it at home in NJ, NY, or PA.
Come to Delaware!
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There's A race of men that don't fit in,
A race that can't stay still;
So they break the hearts of kith and kin,
And they roam the world at will.
http://www.internal.org/view_poem.phtml?poemID=295
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