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Author Topic: Did a free stater *win* write-in campaign?! Plus other NH election news.  (Read 12563 times)

RidleyReport

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Sponsor: Friends of http://YouTube.com/PoliticalGraffiti - Various unusual election results inbound; stand by.  Meanwhile free stater Michael Sylvia appears to have won state rep, but I thought at least part of his campaign was merely a write-in! Please enlighten if you know more.

Now: My method of reporting elections is generally to track one liberty statistic that is important and quantifiable: The number of people in the NH state government who are free state project movers.  For the moment that number is troubling but not disasterous.

During the 2011-12 session we had 12 or 13 people in the House who had signed the FSP's letter of intent and moved to NH for freedom.  This time, so far, I can only find 9 who have won.  I've looked through all the races.  It is likely that I am missing at least one, maybe two.   Either through overlooking or not knowing their names.  In any case it's probably a first-ever reduction in our state house numbers.  "Our" being free state project movers.  

Incumbet free stater rep Jenn Coffey - a real go-getter for her constituents - loses substantially.

Many other results coming in. Meanwhile some sources that you may find useful:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2012/general/by_state/state_sen_house/NH_State_House.html?SITE=WMURTVELN&SECTION=POLITICS
http://freekeene.com/2012/11/06/live-nh-election-results-blogging/

« Last Edit: November 07, 2012, 01:27:20 pm by RidleyReport »
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John Edward Mercier

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Re: Did a free stater *win* write-in campaign?!
« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2012, 12:32:23 pm »

Mike was a write-in for the Republican primary.

The Republican Party failed to field anyone in my distict and left the races to Ron and George.

His positions aren't widely known and his message seems a bit inconsistent; but both Ron and George are widely known - not a good thing.

So I voted for him, along with Fink.
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RidleyReport

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Re: Did a free stater *win* write-in campaign?!
« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2012, 12:36:33 pm »

Free state movers and incumbents Dan MacGuire / Carol MacGuire were reported to have won.  And I've included them in my "9 free stater" figure for now. But the numbers I see in the link above for them are inconclusive.

Other "mover" results:

Cal Pratt wins
Greg Surby loses, pretty badly, in Nashua
Bill Walker (Plainfield?) loses badly.
Brandon Ross loses by a couple points; I'm not positive he's an FSP mover.

Some free stater movers who won:

Mark Warden
Mike Sylvia
Joel Winters
Emily Sandblade
Keith Murphy
« Last Edit: November 07, 2012, 12:47:55 pm by RidleyReport »
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RidleyReport

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Re: Did a free stater *win* write-in campaign?!
« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2012, 12:42:07 pm »

Some results of a more general liberty-related nature in the state house:

Bob Kingsbury loses - Former Libertarian Party guy I think or maybe still is.  Was GOP incumbent and very friendly to freedom.  Also served under General Patton, that's a rarity these days!

Tregenza, Norman loses.  Not sure of his free state status but he certainly was friendly to us and this loss will not help.

« Last Edit: November 07, 2012, 01:43:58 pm by LoveAndPeace »
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RidleyReport

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Re: Did a free stater *win* write-in campaign?!
« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2012, 12:47:03 pm »

Liberty-leaning institutions Paul Ingbretson and Paul Mirski got knocked out.  Ingbretson ran the liberty-leaning Redress Committee or at least often ran it.

Neal Kurk (sp?) survives.  He's also an institution; led the fight against Real ID and I think generally scores around 80% from the New Hampshire Liberty Alliance.

Mulholland, Catherine...prominent anti free-stater stalwart from UK I think...elected in town of Grafton, I think she still lives there.   Again these are all NH State House races I'm discussing.

Wife of free stater gets elected in one town, not a free stater herself.  Switched from Dem to GOP at some point in the past I believe.

Jeff Goley, who I believe was rated the most anti-freedom politician in the House last year...wins decisively.

State House speaker Bill O'Brien is barely holding on to his house seat at last check of the numbers....  it's within 60 votes.

Don Gorman from the NH liberty Alliance appears to have just barely lost in Deefield... quarter of a percent difference, about 13 votes... recount seems appropriate.
« Last Edit: November 07, 2012, 12:53:02 pm by RidleyReport »
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RidleyReport

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Re: Did a free stater *win* write-in campaign?!
« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2012, 12:57:30 pm »

More results of people who are liberty-sigificant but not necessarily free staters:

Dan Itse, who usually gets NH liberty ratings above 80 percent, survives.  He leads Fed-nullification efforts in the state house.

Homeschooling nemesis and Ridley Report ambush interview recipient Judy Day loses.

Kyle Tasker, pro-liberty, was reported to have won but the numbers I see for now indicate he lost or it's undecided.

Tammy Simmons, close ally of libertarians, appears to have lost slightly.
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RidleyReport

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Re: Did a free stater *win* write-in campaign?!
« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2012, 01:08:11 pm »

Wow get this:

Hall, Betty   Ind   698   11%

Hall, unless there are two NH House Betty Halls....runs well into her 90s.  She only needed about 22 percent to win, and she got 11 percent as an independent.   The charming and active nuevo-generian led efforts to hep impeach George Bush.  They wanted to push a resolution through or something along those lines in the state house, back when she was a Dem incumbent.
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RidleyReport

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Re: Did a free stater *win* write-in campaign?!
« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2012, 01:11:00 pm »

Going off topic a little to mention a national race....  Hardy Macia appears to have gotten around 4.3 percent in a Congressional or Senate run, can't remember which.  Is that higher than usual for a Libertarian Party Federal run?
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RidleyReport

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Re: Did a free stater *win* write-in campaign?!
« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2012, 01:14:53 pm »

Former NH House bigwig DJ Bettancourt lashes out at NH Libertarian Party candidates:

"Libertarian candidates in both NH 01 and NH 02 won 4% of the vote. Cost Frank Guinta his seat. Enjoy Carol Shea-Porter."

I would have voted for Guinta if I had considered him relatively pro-freedom.   Run a pro-freedom candidate if you want to avoid this problem.
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greap

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Re: Did a free stater *win* write-in campaign?!
« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2012, 01:24:26 pm »

In Nashua FSP mover Michael Garcia won and FSP friendly David Murotake won. Doris and Greg both ran as Republicans in heavy democrat wards and lost as a result of people voting straight ticket. We lost 5 relatively strong pro-liberty candidates through the massive democrat swing that occurred everywhere in the state.

The lesson to learn from Nashua is that you should always align yourself with the right party for your district. Michael didn't have an active campaign but ran on a democrat ticket as his district generally votes democrat. Doris & Greg both ran very strong campaigns but both live in districts that generally go Democrat while they were running on Republican tickets. Until we can get voters to vote the issues/person not the party affiliations matter immensely.

Numbers show that democrats will control the house no matter recount changes and the last few districts to report. Senate is too close to call with a current 2 seat lead to the GOP but with 3 seats well within the margin of error before recount.
« Last Edit: November 07, 2012, 01:45:33 pm by LoveAndPeace »
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RidleyReport

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Re: Did a free stater *win* write-in campaign?! Plus other NH election news.
« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2012, 01:28:08 pm »

What interesting data do *you* have?  Post it here!  And thanks you John Edward.
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JasonPSorens

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"Educate your children, educate yourselves, in the love for the freedom of others, for only in this way will your own freedom not be a gratuitous gift from fate. You will be aware of its worth and will have the courage to defend it." --Joaquim Nabuco (1883), Abolitionism

John Edward Mercier

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Re: Did a free stater *win* write-in campaign?! Plus other NH election news.
« Reply #12 on: November 07, 2012, 05:30:09 pm »

Greap...
Was it because of the 'swing' or because of the candidate?

Other than federal, where I'm happy to say that I was one of the Johnson votes in Belknap County...
And one of those votes that cost Guinta (whom I supported in the last election) his seat...

All my contested races had no incumbents. I had to vote with my knowledge of the position of various players.
Sometimes, as noted with Fink and Sylvia, on the basis of less information about them and more about their opposition.
Something I don't like to do.
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KBCraig

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Re: Did a free stater *win* write-in campaign?!
« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2012, 05:39:20 pm »

Former NH House bigwig DJ Bettancourt lashes out at NH Libertarian Party candidates:

"Libertarian candidates in both NH 01 and NH 02 won 4% of the vote. Cost Frank Guinta his seat. Enjoy Carol Shea-Porter."

I saw the numbers last night, and was waiting for that one.


Quote
I would have voted for Guinta if I had considered him relatively pro-freedom.   Run a pro-freedom candidate if you want to avoid this problem.

Exactly. Same for Bass.
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freedomroad

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Re: Did a free stater *win* write-in campaign?! Plus other NH election news.
« Reply #14 on: November 07, 2012, 07:44:29 pm »

It looks like FSP state reps in NH went from 0 to 1 to 4 to somewhere in the 12-14 range to around 11 this time. Not bad. Not bad at all. That is with just 1,100 FSPers in NH. That means 1 FSP state rep per 100 people in NH. If 20,000 FSPers in NH would that mean 200 state reps?
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