One last thing on opt-outs:
I think the low number of opt-outs for ID, WY and NH indicate that the braying of a few individuals is not representative of the whole, and that the ratios of 17% to 38% indicate the serious thought that people put into their opt-outs.
It looks like the average person opted out of 2.6 states. If we assume 25% glass-eaters, then of those who opted out of states, they averaged about 3.3 opt-outs per person, or one-third of the states. But for the states of interest, it is under 20%. So, of 4200 reachable voting FSPers, we get about 3360 who say they'll move.
My guess is that we'll get 4 sympathizing movers for each FSPer, so if it's NH, we're at 17,000 of an estimated needed 45,000 (all numbers IMHO). Free State in 2008-2012 time frame. If it's WY, 17,000 of an estimated 17,000(!) WY, is *still* a 2008-2012 timeframe (jobs). Move 'em out!
And yes, Jason, MT will do better than the spreadsheets, and the Dakotas worse. Interestingly, for the vocal supporters of Delaware, it has as high an opt-out rate as the spreadsheets might predict.
Final final note: From the opt-outs, it's going to be close. And a 4-way race (MT, WY, ID, NH).