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Author Topic: Where do we Stand as of Right Now?  (Read 63049 times)

MoonChaser

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Re:Where do we Stand as of Right Now?
« Reply #30 on: September 10, 2003, 02:36:40 am »

I voted for... MARS!! 8)  (Population 0)  

Just Kidding!!!! ;D ;D ;D ;D

I mailed my ballot back on Friday, with The Granite State as my first pick.

I'll see you all in the Free State! :)
 
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sjolley

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Re:Where do we Stand as of Right Now?
« Reply #31 on: September 10, 2003, 10:10:49 am »

2 votes for ID, WY, AK, MT, ....
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bIlluminati

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Re:Where do we Stand as of Right Now?
« Reply #32 on: September 10, 2003, 10:31:14 am »

South Dakota
Idaho
North Dakota (cheap land)
Wyoming (few jobs)
New Hampshire (high population)
Alaska
Montana
Delaware
Vermont
Main

If population wre not an issue, it'd be: NH ID WY
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Summerlin

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Re:Where do we Stand as of Right Now?
« Reply #33 on: September 10, 2003, 10:37:08 am »

Wyoming = Montana = Idaho

 ;D
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LeRuineur6

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Re:Where do we Stand as of Right Now?
« Reply #34 on: September 10, 2003, 10:44:41 am »

What's with all of these "two votes" and "four votes" people?

You have TWO or FOUR ACTIVISTS in your household?   ???

I could have easily signed up my wife and had her vote, but she's not an activist, so that would be dishonest manipulation of the vote.

Hopefully everyone is being honest here by only signing up those who are activists.  Otherwise you're only hurting our cause.   :-\
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SethA

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Re:Where do we Stand as of Right Now?
« Reply #35 on: September 10, 2003, 10:47:21 am »

Reporting for our family and friends:
First place votes:

3 votes NEW HAMPSHIRE

2 votes ALASKA

1 vote DELAWARE

There are all activist voters!
« Last Edit: September 10, 2003, 10:49:06 am by SLA »
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Ben F. Irvin

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Re:Where do we Stand as of Right Now?
« Reply #36 on: September 10, 2003, 04:02:20 pm »

 :)

1.  Montana  ;D
2.  Idaho   ;D
3.  Wyoming   ;D
4.  South Dakota   ;D
5.  Alaska   :)
6.  North Dakota   :)
7.  Maine   ???
8.  Vermont   >:(
9.  Delaware   >:(
10. New Hamster   >:(
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Ben

M249SAW

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Re:Where do we Stand as of Right Now?
« Reply #37 on: September 10, 2003, 06:28:50 pm »

One for Idaho
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varrin

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Re:Where do we Stand as of Right Now?
« Reply #38 on: September 10, 2003, 06:53:46 pm »

As of right now, this thread represents the following order for first place votes (assuming I counted correctly - I counted ties as one vote for each):

NH 22
WY 10
ID 7
AK 6
MT 4
ME 2
DE 1
ND 1
SD 1
VT 0

Total = 54

Based on the total number of votes, it is impoosible to tell who the winner is.  NH obviously took the most first place votes, however because it didn't get an absolute majority, it's theoretically possible that another state won.  32 votes are available and only 23 above NH would be needed.  WY already has 10 (would need as few as 13 votes above NH), and ID already has 7 (would need as few as 16 votes above NH).  I didn't look at the total votes for those who reported more than one (since the thread is only about first place votes) but there were some that ranked WY, ID, AK, and MT above NH but below first place.  Hence, I wouldn't say it's 'in the bag' for NH, though it appears to be heavily weighted that way.

Also, regarding number of activists, I don't know about everyone else, but my two votes represents two activsts.  In fact, I could have listed my kids.  They were, indeed, a part of my Congressional campaign (one of my press releases centered around them and generated good local and even one piece of *national* news coverage).  However, they're not *really* activists so I stuck to my wife (published LTE generator, campaign manager, scheduler, office manager, etc. etc.) and myself.  But someday I expect these kids to be activists too ;)

Y'all behave now... ;)

V-

« Last Edit: September 10, 2003, 06:55:52 pm by varrin »
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RClark

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Re:Where do we Stand as of Right Now?
« Reply #39 on: September 10, 2003, 07:24:26 pm »

WY>AK>MT>VT>SD>ND>DE>ID>NH>ME
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Bruce_Morgan

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Re:Where do we Stand as of Right Now?
« Reply #40 on: September 10, 2003, 07:44:05 pm »

3 activists voting from this household.

New Hampshire
New Hampshire
New Hampshire


My count matched yours, varrin, but that could just mean we're both wrong!

Bruce
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varrin

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Re:Where do we Stand as of Right Now?
« Reply #41 on: September 11, 2003, 12:44:17 am »

Thanks for the confirmation Bruce.  I was hoping I counted correctly.  Based on the below, NH moves closer to an absolute majority.  I wonder how the non-participants will vote (compared with those of us who frequent these forums).  If it's anywhere close, it looks like NH will win by a healthy margin.  

NH 25
WY 11
ID 7
AK 6
MT 4
ME 2
DE 1
ND 1
SD 1
VT 0

Total = 58

Assuming they're ranked in that order, it's (all on one line):

NH > WY > ID > AK > MT > ME > DE = ND = SD > VT

On Feb 27th I predicted:

NH > WY > ID > AK > VT > SD = DE > MT = ME > ND

On June 20th I predicted:

NH > WY > ID > MT > SD > VT > AK > DE > ND > ME

As you can see (in all this unscientific stuff), my ranking of VT was off.  Did *anyone* put VT first?  I can't believe someone fessed up to putting ND first and not VT.  Regardless, I got the first three in the right order and I'm willing to bet that the actual outcome will be either NH > WY > ID or NH > ID > WY.  I'll be a little surprised if AK comes in 4th, but on this thread it is.  I'll also be a little surprised if ND beats VT and if SD doesn't beat ME.  

That's all for now...

V-

p.s. yes, I do know that's not how Condorcet works ;)

« Last Edit: September 11, 2003, 12:45:24 am by varrin »
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jgmaynard

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Re:Where do we Stand as of Right Now?
« Reply #42 on: September 11, 2003, 07:21:46 am »

I'll be suprised if VT doesn't do better than #10..... It should, for sure, do better than ND and ME. At least Hardy's gonna be putting it 1st... ;)
IMNSHO, VT is actually quite ripe for a lib infusion, but they don't have the infrastructure, people or experience that NH does. Plus, it's a longer road to travel as far as economic issues are concerned.
But, we'll see.. :)

And I know of three other activists in town who put NH first... :)

JM
« Last Edit: September 11, 2003, 07:24:11 am by jgmaynard »
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rdeacon

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Re:Where do we Stand as of Right Now?
« Reply #43 on: September 11, 2003, 09:35:43 am »

I voted for The Granite State

« Last Edit: September 11, 2003, 09:38:32 am by rdeacon »
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jgmaynard

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Re:Where do we Stand as of Right Now?
« Reply #44 on: September 11, 2003, 02:39:26 pm »

So, current tally (FWIW) of 1st place votes....

NH 30
WY 11
ID 7
AK 6
MT 4
ME 2
DE 1
SD 1
VT 0
ND 0

Hmmm... It's beginning to look like the FSP membership numbers... ;)

JM
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